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In this paper, we propose novel Gaussian process-gated hierarchical mixtures of experts (GPHMEs). Unlike other mixtures of experts with gating models linear in the input, our model employs gating functions built with Gaussian processes (GPs). These processes are based on random features that are non-linear functions of the inputs. Furthermore, the experts in our model are also constructed with GPs. The optimization of the GPHMEs is performed by variational inference. The proposed GPHMEs have several advantages. They outperform tree-based HME benchmarks that partition the data in the input space, and they achieve good performance with reduced complexity. Another advantage is the interpretability they provide for deep GPs, and more generally, for deep Bayesian neural networks. Our GPHMEs demonstrate excellent performance for large-scale data sets, even with quite modest sizes. 

In science and engineering, we often work with models designed for accurate prediction of variables of interest. Recognizing that these models are approximations of reality, it becomes desirable to apply multiple models to the same data and integrate their outcomes. In this paper, we operate within the Bayesian paradigm, relying on Gaussian processes as our models. These models generate predictive probability density functions (pdfs), and the objective is to integrate them systematically, employing both linear and log-linear pooling. We introduce novel approaches for log-linear pooling, determining input-dependent weights for the predictive pdfs of the Gaussian processes. The aggregation of the pdfs is realized through Monte Carlo sampling, drawing samples of weights from their posterior. The performance of these methods, as well as those based on linear pooling, is demonstrated using a synthetic dataset. 

In many machine learning problems, one has to work with data of different types, including continuous, discrete, and categorical data. Further, it is often the case that many of these data are missing from the database. This paper proposes a Gaussian process framework that efficiently captures the information from mixed numerical and categorical data that effectively incorporates missing variables. First, we propose a generative model for the mixed-type data. The generative model exploits Gaussian processes with kernels constructed from the latent vectors. We also propose a method for inference of the unknowns, and in its implementation, we rely on a sparse spectrum approximation of the Gaussian processes and variational inference. We demonstrate the performance of the method for both supervised and unsupervised tasks. First, we investigate the imputation of missing variables in an unsupervised setting, and then we show the results of joint imputation and classification on IBM employee data. 

We consider the problem of sequential estimation of the unknowns of state-space and deep state-space models that include estimation of functions and latent processes of the models. The proposed approach relies on Gaussian and deep Gaussian processes that are implemented via random feature-based Gaussian processes. In these models, we have two sets of unknowns, highly nonlinear unknowns (the values of the latent processes) and conditionally linear unknowns (the constant parameters of the random feature-based Gaussian processes). We present a method based on particle filtering where the parameters of the random feature-based Gaussian processes are integrated out in obtaining the predictive density of the states and do not need particles. We also propose an ensemble version of the method, with each member of the ensemble having its own set of features. With several experiments, we show that the method can track the latent processes up to a scale and rotation.